Senator Casey's combined two-election vote percentage of 56.1% is the highest election/reelection combination of all Pennsylvania U.S. Senators since the 1940s. The election plus first reelection averages, in order starting from the highest, are as follows:
With most votes counted, Bob Casey won reelection with 54% of the vote and with a nine-point margin of victory.
Tea Party Tom Smith trails by a healthy margin in independent public polls, but he has spent the most by a challenger against an incumbent U.S. Senator since Michael Huffington's 1994 race in California. Smith has been heavily backed by national Tea Party groups and out-of-state donors aligned with the Tea Party donors.
With just two days before the Election, Bob Casey is well-positioned. Polling has shown a strong, consistent lead while he has received the endorsement of newspapers across Pennsylvania. Despite facing an opponent who has spent millions of dollars from his own fortune, Casey has held off the challenge and maintained a healthy polling lead.